Math

9709 Pure 1 · 1.3 Coordinate Geometry · where the math is actually used

Hurricane Closest Approach

An emergency planner in St. Croix is watching a storm. Over a few hours a storm's path is close to a straight line, so we model it as one. These storms are made up, not real storm data. How close does it come, does it enter the warning circle, and when?

storm track warning circle track inside it perpendicular CF

1 grid unit = 10 km. Drag S₁ and S₂, or tab to one and use the arrow keys.

S₁, storm now
S₂, storm in 6 hours
Distance S₁S₂
Speed
Try a special case

Work it out

Predict first

Steps 5 and 6 answer these. Make a guess from the picture before you reveal them.

The track will

    Why the perpendicular. The shortest distance from a point to a line is along the perpendicular. That is why the method finds the gradient −1/m and the line through C with that gradient: where it meets the track is the closest point F.

    How far to trust it. A real track curves and the speed changes, so this straight-line model is for the next few hours only. Planners redo the calculation every time a new position comes in.